2018 RAE Market Forecast Highlights
2018 looks to be an cautiously optimistic market
We will have a stable market with ample supply of inventory
The resale market is predicted to be a buyer’s market
Edmonton is rated 6 out of 10 Canadian cities for affordability
All residential average prices are expected to drop by 0.84%
Sales are expected to increase by 0.88%
Inventory is expected to increase by 1.96%
As predicted, there will be more jobs and wages in 2018
Unemployment rate has dropped from 8.7-7.5% as of December 2017
17,775 people moved to Alberta in the third quarter of 2017
Risks to the market in 2018
Mortgage rules and increase in interest rates
Oil prices
Employment
Unforeseen
Consumer Confidence
More foreclosures in 2018
Resale market will become a buyer’s market but days on market and inventory will decrease and a balanced market will emerge by the third quarter of 2018
There will be a 2% inflation in Canada and specifically to Alberta, a 2.5% inflation rate for 2018.
Bank of Canada could raise interest rates by 3X over the course of 2018
Next week there is more than a 50% chance that Bank of Canada will raise interest rates by half a point.
All information supplied by guest speakers at RAE forecast 2018
John Rose, Brent Weimer, Doug Porter, Jack Mintz
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